![]() Considering the high probability of the presence of Western chips in the S-400, it can be assumed that Russia will face difficulties with the supply of this anti-aircraft missile system to India. Material includes armored vehicles, aviation equipment, air defense systems, small arms etc.Īccording to Indian media the second squadron was set to begin arriving in May 2022, but delay was expected due to the consequences of the war. India accounts for 34% of all sales from Russia for the specified period. According to SIPRI, between 20, Moscow had become a key supplier of weapons to India (Russia accounted for 60% of all arms imports, totalling $22.9 billion), while the average annual amount of deliveries for this period amounted to $2.1 billion. India may be the first country concerned it has been a steady buyer of Russian weapons for a sustained period. The economic decline of Russia’s defense industry may lead a number of Russia's traditional partner countries to significantly reduce - or altogether refuse - military-technical cooperation with Russia. ![]() We can expect Russia’s position in the global arms market to decline Finally, a shortage of weapons due to colossal losses (Russia even started to use obsolete T-62 tanks) will force the defense industry to focus more efforts on the repair and production of weapons for the war in Ukraine, rather than on exports. Moreover, problems in the economy - GDP is expected to contract by 11.2% and investments to drop by 16.9% - may lead to a reduction in spending on the military industry and innovation. In this regard, a number of Russian companies (including " Kamaz", "Kalashnikov" and " Uralvagonzavod") have already limited their production. The use of secondary sanctions was also imposed on Russian defense companies to prevent companies from third countries from providing alternative sources of technology. Government measures include blocking the supply of Western components, production lines, and financial transactions. Today, the main defense companies in Russia are on Western sanction lists. All underline how Russia remains highly dependent on foreign technology. Finally, the TOR-M2 anti-aircraft system is equipped with an oscillator developed by the UK in a computer. More than sixty Western-made IT-elements are included in the Automated Radio Interference Station Borisoglebsk-2. The 9M727 Iskander and Kalibr cruise missiles also rely on Western chips. Russian T-72 tanks are moreover equipped with French thermal imagers. For instance in Orlan-10 drones (one of the main drones of the Russian Armed Forces), the key blocks consist of Western-made components. Given that Russian weapons remain highly dependent on western-made components, a halt in the volume of production is expected. At the start of May, 10,128 sanctions were imposed against Russia, and key defense companies are among the targets. Thirdly, in addition to military aspects which contributed to severe losses for Moscow, the Russian arms industry revealed its vulnerability to the international arms trade environment. This was notable for instance with the Turkish-supplied Bayraktar UAVs, the American Javelin and Swedish-British NLAW anti-tank weapons, the American air-defense systems Stinger, and the British Starstreak, all of which very effectively destroyed Russian equipment. Second, the war undermined Russian military effectiveness, in comparison with Western and even Ukrainian weapons systems. These factors account for significant losses. This is due to Russian intelligence failure, outdated combat planning, the failure of Russian forces to establish air superiority, lack of sustainable logistics, and finally, poor C2 (Command and Control Infrastructure). The Russian military is making little headway when compared to the Western military school. ![]() Main conclusions to draw so farįirst, the strategy of the Russian armed forces has remained at 1980s levels, while staff training is rigid and outdated, based on World War II tactics with little attention paid to newer forms of warfare. Throughout the Cold War to the present day, Russia supplied India with a wide range of weapons, from tanks to missiles, aircraft and submarines, remaining a key arms supplier for the Indian military. This rings even more true given the partnership in military-technical cooperation between Russia and India. These conclusions, together with the increasingly complex geopolitical situation, can significantly undermine Russia's position in the global arms market. Russia’s war against Ukraine sheds light on many aspects of Russian forces’ strategy and tactics, allowing observers to draw important conclusions regarding the effectiveness of Russian weapons platforms, military equipment and their tactical use in modern combat.
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